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Bunzl Shares Decline After Bank of America Reinstates With 'Underperform' Rating

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Jul 20, 20261 min read
Bunzl Shares Decline After Bank of America Reinstates With 'Underperform' Rating
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Background

Shares of British distribution and outsourcing company Bunzl PLC (LSE:BNZL) fell on Tuesday after Bank of America reinstated coverage on the stock with a bearish outlook. The bank's analysts assigned an 'Underperform' rating, triggering a sell-off amid concerns that the company's valuation has become stretched following a strong year-to-date rally.

Bank of America's Bearish Case

Bank of America set a price target of 2,206p, implying significant potential downside from the stock's recent trading levels. According to the bank's note, Bunzl's roughly 30% gain so far this year has resulted in a re-rating that is difficult to justify on fundamental grounds.

The core of the bearish thesis centers on the accounting effects of Bunzl's acquisition strategy. Bank of America analysts argued that M&A-related charges have distorted the company's underlying performance.

Key points from the research note include:

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  • Approximately £1.9 billion in cumulative M&A-related charges since 2013 are believed to have flattered key metrics.
  • These charges may have artificially inflated adjusted earnings per share (EPS) by around 28%.
  • Return on invested capital (ROIC) was potentially boosted by 260 basis points due to these accounting effects.

Market Reaction and Context

In response to the report, Bunzl's stock fell 1.7% to trade at 2,748p, pulling back from its 52-week high of 2,798p reached in recent sessions. The high-profile downgrade from a major bank appeared to prompt profit-taking from investors who had benefited from the stock's recent run-up.

The note reinforced existing valuation concerns, as the broader analyst consensus was already a 'Hold' with a collective price target below the stock's recent price. The company-specific selling pressure occurred despite a modestly positive session for U.S. equities, highlighting the direct impact of the analyst rating change.

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