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Tanker Traffic Slows in Strait of Hormuz Amid U.S.-Iran Military Clashes

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Jul 10, 20262 min read
Tanker Traffic Slows in Strait of Hormuz Amid U.S.-Iran Military Clashes

Summary

Vessel traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz has declined after the U.S. and Iran exchanged military strikes, threatening a recent truce and pushing oil prices toward weekly gains of 4-5%.

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Background

Daily tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital channel for global energy supplies, has slowed following a series of military exchanges between the United States and Iran this week. The clashes have jeopardized a fragile truce and renewed concerns over the security of oil shipments from the region, according to a Reuters report.

Escalating Hostilities

The recent flare-up began after Washington accused Iranian forces of attacking three Qatari and Saudi tankers. The U.S. subsequently struck military sites along Iran’s southern coast and in its eastern provinces, with U.S. Central Command stating its forces hit approximately 90 Iranian military targets. According to Iranian state media, those attacks killed 14 people and injured 78.

Iran retaliated on Thursday, with its army and Revolutionary Guards claiming responsibility for attacks on U.S. military assets in the Gulf. The stated targets included U.S. Patriot systems in Kuwait, an early-warning site in Qatar, a U.S. Army fuel depot in Bahrain, and the Azraq military base in Jordan, which hosts U.S. forces.

Market Impact and Shipping Data

The heightened geopolitical risk has pushed oil prices higher, with benchmarks on track for weekly gains of 4% to 5%. The immediate effect on shipping is evident in vessel transit data, which showed a slowdown on Friday.

Before this week's events, traffic had been recovering but remained far below historical norms:

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  • Recent average: 40 ships transiting the strait per day.
  • Pre-conflict average: 125 to 140 ships per day.

The Strait of Hormuz handled about a fifth of global oil supplies before the conflict. The International Energy Agency (IEA) noted that while global oil supply rose by 4.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in June, it remains 9.4 million bpd below pre-war levels.

Diplomatic Fallout

The military actions threaten to unravel an interim agreement that saw the U.S. end a naval blockade of Iranian ports in exchange for Iran's guarantee of safe passage for commercial vessels. U.S. President Donald Trump declared the truce "over," though a U.S. official later stated that Washington was still committed to finding a resolution and that "technical talks continue."

Tehran has warned that the strait would only be reopened on its terms, promising a "crushing response" to any U.S. intervention. The New York Times reported that Qatar had been in talks with both Washington and Tehran in an effort to de-escalate the crisis.

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