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Wall Street Banks Capitalize on AI 'Super Cycle' as Deals and Financing Surge

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Jul 15, 20262 min read
Wall Street Banks Capitalize on AI 'Super Cycle' as Deals and Financing Surge

Summary

Leading investment banks are reporting a significant increase in dealmaking and financing fees, driven by what executives are calling an 'AI capex super cycle' as tech companies rush to fund infrastructure.

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Background

A massive wave of investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure is fueling a dealmaking boom for Wall Street's top banks, which are reaping lucrative fees from a surge in public offerings, loans, and advisory work. Bank executives described the trend as a multi-year "super cycle" during recent earnings calls, signaling a significant new revenue stream for the financial industry.

An 'AI Capex Super Cycle'

The build-out of AI is requiring enormous capital expenditure (capex) for data centers, microchips, and other essential hardware, creating a voracious appetite for funding. "The build-out of AI infrastructure remains in its early stages, and we believe this multi-year investment cycle will continue to drive elevated levels of strategic activity, financing, and capital formation across markets," Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said on an earnings call, adding that the industry is "in the middle of an AI capex super cycle."

Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick provided staggering figures to illustrate the scale of investment. He noted that data center capex forecasts for 2027 have been revised upward from $700 billion to a projected $1.3 trillion, with 2028 potentially reaching $1.5 trillion. Over the long term, Morgan Stanley estimates total AI-related capex could reach $10 trillion, according to Pick.

A Boom in Deals and Financing

The surge in capital needs has translated directly into high-profile deals for investment banks. Recent activity includes:

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  • SK Hynix: Citigroup acted as a joint global co-ordinator on the chipmaker's $26.5 billion American Depositary Receipt (ADR) offering.
  • SpaceX: Goldman Sachs served as the lead left underwriter on the company's record $86 billion initial public offering.
  • OpenAI: Bank of America recently extended a $520 million credit line to the AI firm, its first such loan, a person familiar with the matter told Reuters. Both OpenAI and rival Anthropic are also reportedly preparing for IPOs.

Bank of America has helped raise nearly $500 billion for AI-related companies since 2025, accounting for 60% of such fundraising across debt and equity markets, according to internal data seen by Reuters. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms is reportedly working with Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase on a financing package of roughly $13 billion for a new data center.

Market Impact and Outlook

Executives report that AI is a dominant theme in conversations with clients across sectors. Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser told investors that spending on technology, data centers, and energy is accelerating. The impact extends beyond pure tech, with JPMorgan CFO Jeremy Barnum noting that the data center boom creates secondary demand for services like plumbing and electrical work.

Despite the optimism from bankers, the market has shown some recent signs of caution. Technology stocks, particularly chipmakers, faced a difficult July as investors grappled with high valuations and questioned the long-term sustainability of the AI spending boom. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan acknowledged that while AI investment is supporting the economy, "inflation and tighter monetary policy remain key risks."

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