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Corn Futures Dip as Traders Await Key USDA Stocks Report

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Sep 29, 20261 min read
Corn Futures Dip as Traders Await Key USDA Stocks Report

Summary

Chicago corn futures closed slightly lower as the market awaits a crucial USDA report on grain stockpiles, with analysts expecting a significant year-over-year increase in supply.

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Background

Chicago corn futures edged lower on Tuesday as traders adjusted positions ahead of a highly anticipated quarterly stocks report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). The most-active December corn contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) settled down 1 cent at $5.22 per bushel amid cautious trading at the end of the month and quarter.

Focus on Supply Data

The market's primary focus is on the USDA's upcoming grain stocks report, set for release Wednesday, which will provide a key update on U.S. supply fundamentals. According to a poll of analysts cited by Investing.com, the report is expected to show U.S. corn stocks stood at 1.918 billion bushels as of September 1.

This forecast represents a substantial increase from the 1.551 billion bushels reported a year earlier. An expected rise in stockpiles typically puts downward pressure on prices, and traders are positioning themselves for this potential confirmation of ample supply.

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Harvest Progress and Weather

Meanwhile, the U.S. corn harvest is proceeding at a normal pace, though weather has introduced some regional delays. In its weekly report on Monday, the USDA stated that 18% of the nation's corn crop had been harvested as of Sunday, matching the five-year average.

However, progress was noted as below average in some states, such as Iowa, due to rain. Weather forecaster Vaisala indicated that rainfall will continue to slow harvesting operations across parts of the U.S. over the next week, a factor traders will continue to monitor.

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