Story
TSX Futures Gain as Investors Await U.S. Federal Reserve Rate Decision

Summary
Futures for Canada's main stock index edged higher Wednesday morning, with market focus squarely on the U.S. Federal Reserve's impending interest rate announcement and a pause in the recent oil price surge.
Futures contracts for Canada's S&P/TSX Composite Index saw modest gains on Wednesday as investors awaited a key monetary policy decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve. A halt in a recent rally in oil prices also helped support market sentiment.
By 08:02 ET, S&P/TSX 60 index futures had risen by 10 points, or 0.5%. The move follows a session where the benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index fell by 0.3% on Tuesday, hitting its lowest intraday level since July 31, according to market data.
Broader Market Awaits Fed
The cautious optimism in Toronto mirrored premarket activity in the U.S., where futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also ticked higher. On Tuesday, major Wall Street indexes retreated as benchmark U.S. government bond yields climbed to their highest levels in nearly two decades, weighing on equity valuations.
Analysts attributed the recent selloff in both debt and equity markets to a jump in oil prices, which has amplified fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation. This has, in turn, fueled expectations of more restrictive central bank policy.
Rate Hike Widely Expected
AdThe U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise its key interest rate by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday. Such a move, which would be the first since 2023, is seen as a response to sticky inflation and a resilient labor market that gives the central bank room to tighten policy further.
With the rate hike largely priced in, investors will focus intensely on the Fed's accompanying statement and subsequent press conference with Chair Jerome Powell. Market participants will be looking for any forward-looking guidance on the potential for future rate increases and the central bank's overall economic outlook.
Commodities and Corporate Movers
In commodities, crude oil's recent rally paused after reports of an unexpectedly large build in U.S. inventories, though prices remained elevated. Gold prices rebounded after two consecutive sessions of losses.
In the technology sector, shares of Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) rose in premarket trading. The gains followed a Reuters report that memory chip manufacturer SK Hynix was in discussions with the U.S. semiconductor giant to produce chips in the United States. However, SK Hynix stated that no plans had been confirmed.
Read next
More on Stocks
Dollar Surges on Hawkish Fed Signals, Posts Best Weekly Gain in Three Months
The U.S. dollar recorded its strongest weekly performance in over three months as Federal Reserve indications of future rate hikes bolstered the currency. Analysts see continued support from a robust U.S. economy, though the potential for further gains is debated.

TD Cowen Names United Airlines Top Pick, Citing Pricing Power and Resilient Demand
Investment firm TD Cowen has highlighted United Airlines as its leading choice in the aviation sector, citing the carrier's strategic investments and strong pricing power amid high fuel costs and robust travel demand.

Retail Investor Bearishness Hits 16-Month High as Cash Holdings Swell, AAII Survey Finds
A new survey from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) shows bearish sentiment among retail investors has soared to 53.3%, the highest in over a year, despite the S&P 500 trading near its all-time peak.

Hedge Funds Turn Bullish on Japanese Yen for First Time in Over a Year
Leveraged funds flipped to a net long position on the Japanese yen for the first time since July 2025, amassing a $1.6 billion bet on the currency's strength following recent central bank rate hikes and market interventions.