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China Orders Refiners to Maintain High Output Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions

Summary
Beijing has instructed major refiners to sustain high fuel production levels to safeguard domestic supplies against potential crude oil disruptions from the Persian Gulf, according to a report.
China has directed some of its largest oil refiners to maintain high fuel production in response to escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, which threaten crude shipments through the Persian Gulf. The move signals Beijing's focus on ensuring domestic energy security amid growing instability in a critical global oil transit corridor, a Bloomberg News report said Saturday, citing people familiar with the matter.
Directive Aims to Shore Up Supply
According to the report, at least two major state-owned refineries have been told to sustain or increase their crude processing rates. This directive comes despite a backdrop of elevated domestic gasoline and diesel inventories and a structural slowdown in China's fuel demand.
Authorities are reportedly holding July export quotas steady, prioritizing the domestic market over international sales. China had initially restricted fuel exports when the conflict began before later issuing additional quotas to refiners. The latest instruction underscores a renewed focus on shoring up internal supplies as hostilities in the Middle East intensify.
Pressure on Asian Refining Margins
The policy could have significant ripple effects across regional energy markets. Increased refinery runs in China, the world's largest crude importer, are expected to add further pressure to already weak Asian refining margins by boosting the supply of refined products.
AdThe spread between regional gasoline prices and Dubai crude has already fallen to its lowest point since late March, according to Bloomberg. Sustained high output from China could compress these margins further, impacting the profitability of refiners across Asia.
Geopolitical Backdrop
Beijing's precautionary measure follows renewed military exchanges in the Persian Gulf and Washington's decision to revoke a waiver that had permitted sales of Iranian crude. Approximately one-fifth of global oil consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz, making any disruption a major concern for global energy markets.
By ensuring high refinery utilization, China is preparing for potential price volatility and supply interruptions. The move highlights the strategic importance Beijing places on energy independence and its efforts to mitigate the economic impact of a prolonged period of geopolitical risk.