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BHP Hits Record Annual Iron Ore Output on Q4 Rebound; Copper Guidance Lowered

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Jul 16, 20262 min read
BHP Hits Record Annual Iron Ore Output on Q4 Rebound; Copper Guidance Lowered

Summary

BHP Group reported a quarterly recovery in iron ore shipments that pushed its full-year output to a record high, though copper production remained soft and the company lowered its future guidance for the metal.

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BHP Group (ASX:BHP) announced its iron ore production recovered strongly in the fourth quarter, enabling the world's largest miner to achieve a record output for the fiscal year ended June 30. The positive result for its core commodity was tempered by weaker copper production and a reduced forecast for the industrial metal.

Iron Ore Rebounds to Annual Record

In a statement Thursday, BHP reported that its Western Australian iron ore production rose 7% quarter-on-quarter to 74.8 million metric tons (mt) for the three months to June 30. The increase reflects a recovery from weather-related disruptions, including Cyclone Zelia, which had impacted operations in the prior quarter.

While the quarterly figure was down 3% from a year ago, the rebound was enough to push full-year production to a record 291.2 million mt. This result fell within the company's guidance of 284-296 million mt. For fiscal 2027, BHP forecast iron ore production between 286-298 million mt.

However, BHP faces a near-term operational risk as hundreds of workers at Port Hedland, the world's largest iron ore loading port, are set to strike on Thursday following failed union negotiations.

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Copper Output Muted, Prices Surge

Copper production presented a more mixed picture. Output rose 3% from the prior quarter to 491.9 thousand metric tons but was down 5% year-over-year due to disruptions at its operations in Chile and South Australia. Full-year production of 1.95 million mt was in line with guidance.

Significantly, BHP lowered its fiscal 2027 copper production guidance to between 1.65-1.80 million mt, citing an unexpected issue at its South Australia operations. This signals potential operational headwinds for a key growth commodity.

Despite lower volumes, the miner benefited from surging prices for the red metal. Average realised copper prices jumped to $6.53 per pound, an 11% increase from the prior quarter and a substantial 47% rise from a year ago. This reflects tight global supplies and strong market expectations for copper demand driven by the artificial intelligence sector.

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