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Pepco Shares Hit 52-Week High After Retailer Lifts Full-Year Guidance

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Jul 9, 20262 min read
Pepco Shares Hit 52-Week High After Retailer Lifts Full-Year Guidance

Summary

The pan-European discount retailer materially upgraded its full-year gross margin and EBITDA targets, citing strong Q3 trading and a successful strategic refocus, sending its shares surging on the Warsaw Stock Exchange.

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Background

Shares in Pepco Group surged to a new 52-week high after the discount retailer significantly upgraded its full-year financial outlook in its third-quarter trading update for fiscal year 2026.

Upgraded Outlook and Q3 Performance

Pepco announced it is now targeting a full-year gross margin of approximately 51%, a material increase from its previous forecast of above 49.4%. The company also projects underlying EBITDA growth in the mid-teens range and expects to generate around €300 million in unlevered free cash flow.

The improved guidance was supported by strong third-quarter results. Key figures from the trading update include:

  • Group revenues (excluding Dealz) of €1.09 billion, an increase of 8.5% at constant currency.
  • Exceptional like-for-like sales growth of 15% in Western Europe, which the company attributed to its refocused clothing and general merchandise strategy.

Strategic Drivers and Market Reaction

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Management's confidence was further bolstered by strong trading in May and June, with CFO Willem Eelman signaling that the new 51% gross margin target could be conservative, according to the report. The recent completion of the sale of its Dealz business in Poland was also cited as a positive, as it removes a structurally weaker segment and sharpens the group's investment profile.

Investors reacted positively to the news, driving Pepco's stock up 2.8% to 37.53 PLN and reaching an intraday 52-week high of 38.17 PLN. The move was also supported by recent analyst upgrades, including a "buy" rating from Citi Research and an upgrade to "buy" from Trigon DM in late June.

Context for Investors

The rally appears to be driven by company-specific catalysts rather than broader market momentum, as U.S. indices were mixed and the local WIG30 index provided only a generally supportive backdrop. The combination of a beat-and-raise quarter, a more focused business strategy, and bullish management commentary has increased investor conviction in the company's operational turnaround.

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