Mexican Avocado Group Downplays Supply Risk After US Halts Inspections

The Mexican Hass Avocado Association said Thursday it does not anticipate a meaningful impact on market supply following a temporary U.S. suspension of avocado inspections in Mexico's Michoacan state.

In a letter to its members, the association stated that current supply chain conditions and existing inventories are expected to meet near-term demand in the United States.

US Halts Inspections

The operational pause was triggered after the United States suspended its inspection program for avocado exports in the key producing state of Michoacan, citing security concerns. These inspections are a mandatory requirement for all avocados shipped to the U.S. market.

A prolonged suspension could eventually slow or halt shipments from the region, which is a primary supplier of Hass avocados to American consumers. The association noted that "the situation continues to evolve."

Market Outlook

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For now, the industry group sought to reassure stakeholders. "Product already in the supply chain and existing inventories are expected to continue meeting customer demand," the letter said, according to Reuters.

This suggests that while new shipments from the region are on hold, the flow of avocados already cleared or in transit should prevent immediate shortages on store shelves.

A Critical Trade Relationship

Mexico is the dominant force in the U.S. avocado market. According to USDA data, the country is on track to export approximately 1.2 million metric tons of avocados to the United States in 2026.

Strong U.S. demand is a key driver for Mexico's total avocado exports, which are projected to reach a record 1.31 million metric tons this year.