Story
US Light Vehicle Replacement Tire Shipments Rose 3.8% in June

Summary
U.S. replacement tire shipments for light vehicles increased 3.8% year-over-year in June, rebounding from a May decline, according to data from the US Tire Manufacturers Association.
U.S. replacement tire shipments for light vehicles rose 3.8% year-over-year in June 2026, marking a recovery from the 2.9% decline recorded in May. The data, released by the US Tire Manufacturers Association (USTMA) on July 13, provides a key indicator of consumer demand and inventory levels in the automotive aftermarket.
Data Highlights and Analyst View
According to an analysis by Morgan Stanley, the June shipment figures suggest that inventory adjustments at dealerships and distribution channels are nearing completion. The firm described the development as a neutral event for the tire industry.
The USTMA report showed mixed results across different segments for June:
- Light Vehicle Replacement: +3.8%
- Commercial Truck Replacement: -7.3%
- Light Vehicle Original Equipment (OE): -1.4%
- Commercial Truck Original Equipment (OE): +2.1%
AdBroader Context and Outlook
Despite the rebound in June, the broader trend for the first half of the year remains negative. Total light vehicle replacement tire shipments for the January-to-June period were down 4.6% compared to the same period in 2025. Similarly, commercial truck replacement tire sales saw a 12.9% decline over the first six months of the year, although the June figure of -7.3% showed a sequential improvement.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley noted that the USTMA data does not capture all market activity, as it excludes imported tires from non-member companies. The firm highlighted that low-price imports remain a significant factor for investors to monitor. Macroeconomic factors, including crude oil price fluctuations impacting raw material costs and gasoline prices influencing vehicle mileage, continue to affect the tire replacement cycle.
Read next
More on Stocks
AI Boom Faces $10 Trillion Revenue Hurdle, BCA Research Warns
A report from BCA Research cautions that the global AI industry may need to generate $10 trillion in annual revenue to justify the massive wave of capital spending, warning that current corporate profit margins are artificially inflated.

MOEX Russia Index Closes Flat as Declining Stocks Outnumber Advancers
Russia's benchmark stock index ended Saturday's session unchanged, masking underlying market weakness as losses in major energy and materials firms were offset by modest gains in telecom and utility stocks.

AI Safety Efforts to Drive Higher Compute Demand, Industry Leaders Say
Top AI developers report that enhancing model safety and alignment is a compute-intensive process, signaling increased, not decreased, demand for hardware and data center infrastructure.

Nike Faces 'Negative Catalyst' as UBS Cuts Price Target on Weakening Demand
UBS has lowered its 12-month price target on Nike, warning that the company is likely to announce significant earnings cuts due to deteriorating demand across key global markets.