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Sterling Holds Near Multi-Week High as Dollar Stays Muted Ahead of Fed Minutes

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Jul 12, 20262 min read
Sterling Holds Near Multi-Week High as Dollar Stays Muted Ahead of Fed Minutes
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Background

The British pound held steady near multi-week highs on Tuesday, with currency markets showing little movement as a quiet U.S. economic calendar kept the dollar subdued ahead of key Federal Reserve meeting minutes due on Wednesday.

Market Snapshot

The GBP/USD currency pair was little changed, slipping a marginal 0.04% to $1.3382. This level is just below the peak reached on Monday near $1.34, which marked its strongest point since the middle of June.

Other major currencies also saw limited action, with the EUR/USD pair easing 0.10% to $1.1430. The broader U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, hovered around 100.76.

Dollar Awaits Fed Catalyst

Analysts noted that traders see little incentive to bet against the U.S. dollar given its relatively high yield in the current environment. "Markets probably require a convincing narrative to short the high-yielding dollar in such a favourable environment for carry," said Francesco Pesole, an FX strategist at ING, in a note to clients.

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Market participants are now focused on the release of minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) latest policy meeting. These notes will be scrutinized for clues on the central bank's future interest rate path. ING's analysis suggested that unless the minutes contain a significant dovish surprise, the dollar is likely to remain supported.

Recent commentary from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who said on Monday that risks to the outlook "have flipped on the hawkish side," was seen by markets as adding little new information to the debate.

UK Housing Data Shows Resilience

On the domestic front, a report from Lloyds showed a modest recovery in the UK housing market. The lender's house price index revealed that average prices increased by 0.2% in June, breaking a three-month streak of declines.

Annual house price growth also edged up to 0.6% from 0.5%. "Mortgage rates have eased from their recent highs, offering some encouragement to those considering a move," said Amanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Lloyds, while cautioning that affordability remains stretched for many.

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