Story
Oil Prices Surge as U.S., Iran Exchange Strikes on Tankers in Persian Gulf

Oil prices climbed in early Thursday trading, building on recent highs as an escalating military conflict between the United States and Iran stoked fears of significant energy supply disruptions from the Middle East.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 1.1% to $97.14 a barrel, their highest level since late July, according to Investing.com. The international benchmark, Brent oil futures, had previously settled up 3.9% at a four-month high of $101.75 a barrel on Wednesday.
Escalating Military Action
The price surge followed reports of the most severe naval strikes since the conflict began in February. Iran stated it had struck 10 ships in and around the critical Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday. In response, the U.S. reported that it retaliated by sinking five Iranian oil tankers.
This direct military exchange has severely impacted transit through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital chokepoint for global oil shipments. According to the report, flows through the strait are currently at a fraction of their pre-war levels, keeping energy markets on edge.
Widening Supply Risks
AdConcerns over regional instability intensified this week after Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi group reportedly attacked energy infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. This development suggests the conflict's impact on energy supplies could expand beyond the immediate vicinity of Hormuz.
Analysts at ANZ noted the gravity of the situation in a research note. "The tit-for-tat attacks suggest oil flows from the Persian Gulf are likely to remain disrupted for the foreseeable future," the analysts wrote. "The broadening of the conflict threatens to risk even deeper disruption to oil supplies that had already left the oil market scrambling to adjust."
Political Uncertainty Fuels Volatility
Adding to market uncertainty are conflicting signals from Washington. While U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters the conflict would end after the November mid-term elections, a Wall Street Journal report cited top advisers who warned the war could persist through the remainder of the president's term.
This lack of a clear path to de-escalation suggests that the geopolitical risk premium currently factored into oil prices is likely to remain, potentially supporting elevated prices for an extended period.
Read next
More on Commodities
U.S. Crude Inventories Post Surprise Draw While Gasoline Stocks Swell, EIA Reports
U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell unexpectedly last week, driven by a surge in exports, while gasoline inventories saw a significant build amid weakening demand, according to the latest EIA data.

UBS Raises Year-End Brent Forecast to $110 on Middle East Supply Risks
UBS has increased its year-end forecast for Brent crude to $110 per barrel, citing escalating supply risks in the Middle East, declining global inventories, and record-high freight costs.

Iran Dismisses Latest Qatari Peace Proposal as 'Unacceptable'
A senior Iranian official has rejected the latest Qatari-mediated draft deal to end the eight-month war, calling the ideas 'unacceptable' and signaling a continued diplomatic impasse. The news comes amid rising oil prices following attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure.

Argentina Poised to Gain EU Soymeal Market Share as Deforestation Rules Hit Brazil
Argentina's soybean industry is preparing to capture a larger share of the European Union's soymeal market as new EU anti-deforestation rules are expected to disrupt exports from rival Brazil.