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Match Group Stock Plummets on Revenue Miss and Weak Q3 Forecast

Shares of Match Group (NASDAQ: MTCH) plunged 10.2% in pre-market trading after the company reported second-quarter 2026 financial results that missed revenue estimates and provided a disappointing third-quarter outlook, fueling investor concerns over a shrinking user base.
Results Disappoint Investors
For the second quarter, Match Group posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.70, which surpassed the analyst consensus of $0.65. However, total revenue declined approximately 1% year-over-year to $853 million, falling short of Wall Street's expectation of about $857 million, according to the company's report released Tuesday.
The more significant concern for the market was a 6% year-over-year drop in total paying users, which fell to 13.3 million. While adjusted EBITDA grew 14% to $331 million, the erosion of the platform's core user base overshadowed the profitability metrics.
Weak Outlook Adds to Concerns
Match Group's forward guidance also failed to reassure investors. The company projected third-quarter revenue in the range of $885 million to $895 million. The midpoint of this forecast lands slightly below the analyst consensus of approximately $891.5 million.
AdCompounding the weak forecast, the company now anticipates a mid-teens percentage revenue decline in its Everyone Everywhere segment, a deterioration from its previous forecast of a low double-digit decline. Management attributed this steeper drop primarily to disruptions affecting its Azar app following its removal from app stores and a subsequent redesign.
Mixed Performance Across Portfolio
While the headline numbers were disappointing, the report contained some operational bright spots. The company's flagship app, Tinder, saw its daily active user decline narrow to 4% year-over-year, its best performance in ten quarters. Meanwhile, the Hinge app continued its strong growth trajectory, delivering 22% revenue growth and expanding its international presence.
Despite these positive developments, they were insufficient to offset the negative impact of the overall revenue miss, the continued decline in paying users, and a subdued financial forecast. The sell-off erased a significant portion of the stock's recent gains, which had been trading near its 52-week high just a day prior.
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