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British Pound Holds Near Multi-Week High as Dollar Trades Sideways Ahead of Fed Minutes

The British pound held firm near multi-week highs against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, with currency markets seeing limited movement as investors await key policy signals from the Federal Reserve. The pound's stability reflects a subdued dollar, which has been trading in a narrow range amid a light economic data calendar.
As of 06:30 ET, the GBP/USD currency pair was down a marginal 0.04% to trade at $1.3382, remaining close to its strongest valuation since the middle of June. Elsewhere, the euro also saw little change, with the EUR/USD pair easing 0.10% to $1.1430.
Dollar Awaits Fed Catalyst
The primary focus for currency traders is the upcoming release of minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) latest policy meeting on Wednesday. The document is expected to provide further insight into the central bank's thinking on the future path of interest rates, keeping market volatility contained in the interim.
Analysts suggest a significant catalyst would be needed to push the dollar lower from its current levels. "Markets probably require a convincing narrative to short the high-yielding dollar in such a favourable environment for carry," said Francesco Pesole, an FX strategist at ING, in a note. Pesole added that ING does not anticipate a dovish surprise from the Fed's minutes.
UK Housing Data Shows Modest Rebound
AdRecent commentary from Fed officials has reinforced a hawkish stance, with Governor Christopher Waller stating Monday that risks to the outlook "have flipped on the hawkish side." However, analysts noted these remarks did not introduce new information for markets.
In the UK, the only significant domestic data release was the Lloyds house price index, which showed a modest recovery in June. Key figures from the report include:
- Average house prices increased by 0.2% on the month, snapping three consecutive months of softness.
- Annual house price growth ticked up slightly to 0.6% from 0.5%.
"Mortgage rates have eased from their recent highs, offering some encouragement to those considering a move," said Amanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Lloyds. She cautioned, however, that housing affordability remains stretched for many potential buyers.