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Asian Tech Stocks Rally as Fed Rate Hike Bets Ease Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Sep 4, 20262 min read
Asian Tech Stocks Rally as Fed Rate Hike Bets Ease Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data
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Asian stock markets advanced on Friday, with technology shares posting significant gains, after comments from a key Federal Reserve official eased expectations for an imminent U.S. interest-rate hike. Investor focus now shifts to the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for further clues on the central bank's policy direction.

Fed Commentary Spurs Market Rally

The rally in Asia followed a strong overnight session on Wall Street, where all three major benchmarks gained more than 1%. The positive sentiment was spurred by remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who stated he would favor keeping rates unchanged at this month's policy meeting if upcoming reports reinforced that price pressures were easing.

Following the comments, the market-implied probability of a Fed rate hike this month fell to approximately 50% from 63% earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool. This shift also provided relief in the bond market, with the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield easing to 4.768%.

Widespread Gains Across Asian Tech

Technology stocks were the primary beneficiaries of the softer interest-rate outlook across the region. The rally was broad-based, with notable gains in several key markets:

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  • Japan's Nikkei rose more than 1%, led by a surge of over 10% in tech investor SoftBank Group.
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 2.2%, with Chinese tech giants Alibaba and Baidu both climbing over 4%.
  • South Korea's KOSPI advanced 1.4%, lifted by chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
  • China's Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 indexes each gained about 0.5%.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was an outlier, bucking the regional trend with a slight decline of 0.1%.

Focus Shifts to U.S. Labor Market

Investors are now awaiting Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, a critical data point for the Federal Reserve. A weaker-than-expected report could reinforce the case for the Fed to pause its rate-hiking cycle, while a surprisingly strong reading could revive bets for further monetary tightening.

Meanwhile, persistent geopolitical tensions have kept oil prices elevated, with Brent crude trading near $96 a barrel. This continues to pose an upside risk to inflation, a factor that remains a key consideration for central bankers.

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