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Soybean Futures Slip as Traders Weigh US-China Trade Truce, Mixed Export Data

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Sep 25, 20261 min read
Soybean Futures Slip as Traders Weigh US-China Trade Truce, Mixed Export Data

Summary

Chicago soybean futures edged lower as a newly announced tariff truce with China and a significant daily export sale were offset by disappointing weekly sales figures and the lack of a broader trade agreement.

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Background

Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed slightly lower on Thursday as market participants assessed the implications of ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations and mixed export data. Traders are closely monitoring a White House summit for signals regarding future demand for U.S. agricultural products from the key importing nation.

US-China Trade Developments

Grain traders expressed disappointment that the high-level summit between U.S. and Chinese leaders did not produce a specific new trade agreement, with the meeting widely viewed as being focused more on diplomatic formalities than concrete policy outcomes.

However, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that the two countries have agreed to extend a trade truce until January 10, according to his comments on Fox News. The agreement, reached after talks with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, suspends the mutual imposition of tariffs exceeding 100%.

Export Data Paints Mixed Picture

Recent export data provided conflicting signals for the market. On one hand, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) confirmed a new sale to China through its daily reporting system:

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  • Private exporters reported the sale of 120,000 metric tons of U.S. soybeans to China.

On the other hand, the USDA's weekly report fell short of analyst forecasts. For the week ending September 17, U.S. net soybean export sales for the current marketing year totaled 582,400 metric tons, a figure below market expectations.

Key Market Prices

The benchmark CBOT November soybean futures contract settled down 0.5 cents at $13.17-1/2 per bushel. In contrast, CBOT December soymeal futures rose $1.80 to close at $372.40 per short ton, setting a new contract high.

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