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Pound Sterling Slides as Hawkish Fed Outlook Boosts US Dollar

ENTHMSVIIDZHZH-TWJAKOHI
Sep 23, 20261 min read
Pound Sterling Slides as Hawkish Fed Outlook Boosts US Dollar

Summary

The British pound weakened against a broadly stronger U.S. dollar on Wednesday, as persistent expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes overshadowed other market factors.

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Background

The British pound fell on Wednesday, tracking a broad-based rally in the U.S. dollar driven by persistent bets on a hawkish Federal Reserve. The move was not prompted by UK-specific news, with sterling's decline reflecting the greenback's dominance in foreign exchange markets.

As of 05:26 ET (09:26 GMT), the GBP/USD currency pair traded down 0.40% at 1.3292. The euro also lost ground, with EUR/USD falling 0.31% to 1.1414.

Hawkish Fed Bets Drive Dollar Demand

The dollar's strength is being fueled by expectations that the U.S. central bank will continue its aggressive monetary tightening policy. This sentiment was reinforced by recent commentary from Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, who suggested a single rate hike may not be sufficient to control inflation.

Recent high-frequency data has supported this view, with initial jobless claims falling below 200,000 and ADP reporting a rise in hiring. "The dollar continues to show very good resilience to lower energy prices and a risk-friendly environment," said Francesco Pesole, an FX strategist at ING. "It’s another sign that the Fed story is dominant."

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European Currencies Under Pressure

The pound's decline was a direct consequence of the dollar's rally, with no significant domestic data or Bank of England commentary to influence trading. Investors are now looking ahead to U.S. data, including Wednesday's S&P Global PMIs and the upcoming September payrolls report, for further clues on the Fed's path.

For the euro, the session brought mixed signals. A surprise upside in the Eurozone composite PMI, which rose to a three-year high of 53.1 in September, makes it more difficult for European Central Bank doves to argue against further tightening, according to ING. However, analysts at the bank noted that falling oil prices could lead markets to "price out ECB tightening faster than Fed tightening," potentially weighing on the EUR/USD pair.

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